The domestic PV market is now on a large scale.
2023-03-16 02:07:11
Recently, China's Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Science and Technology, and the National Energy Administration jointly issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in the 2011 Golden Sun Demonstration" (referred to as "2011 Golden Sun"). The new subsidy standard is adjusted to: Grid-connected projects such as crystalline silicon The component can receive a subsidy of 9 yuan / watt. If an amorphous silicon film module is used, a subsidy of 8 yuan/watt can be obtained. With the current photovoltaic power generation close to 1 yuan / kWh, the domestic photovoltaic market has now started on a large scale. The request to improve the "Golden Sun Demonstration Project" is a strategic measure for China to start the development of the domestic PV market. It has been implemented since 2009 and this year is the third year. The 2011 "Golden Sun" demonstration project was launched at the beginning of this year. On June 26th, the project was officially accepted. The deadline for submission was July 5th, and the project requirements were completed by June 30, 2012. Since March 2009, the central government has decided to invest about 10 billion yuan each year to provide subsidies for China's solar roof and photovoltaic building construction to promote the formation of the domestic solar power generation market. However, the implementation of the "Golden Sun" project in these two years is not satisfactory. Last year's "Golden Sun" Phase I project started construction projects less than half of the total planned size, resulting in a significant reduction in the size of the second phase of the project determined by the state. Meng Xianyu said that last year's "Golden Sun" project, the minimum bid price for key equipment was 10.5 yuan / watt, according to the 50% subsidy standard given by the country at that time, and the installation subsidy of 4 yuan / watt, the actual subsidy amount is 9.25 yuan / watt. Later, the domestic solar cell price dropped to 7 yuan -8 yuan / watt, and now some PV companies' price of the "Golden Sun" engineering component price is reduced by 70% compared with last year's winning price, so the state subsidies are also reduced. A PV company executive told the China United Business Daily that the country has now determined that the grid-connected project will receive a subsidy of 9 yuan per watt if it uses crystalline silicon components. The price of crystalline silicon in domestic large-scale PV module factories is between US$1.3 and US$1.35/W. This market price is even lower than the subsidy given by the state. The current domestic component cost accounts for about half of the investment in domestic PV projects, which means the state gives The subsidy for the "Golden Sun" project is 50%, and the amount of this subsidy is very high. Of course, the requirements of the country have also increased accordingly. In the subsidy policy in 2009, the government required that the power dissipation period of crystalline silicon components should be no less than 25 years, but now it is more refined as "the attenuation rate of crystalline silicon components should not exceed 2% in 2 years, and not higher than 20 in 25 years. %, the attenuation rate of amorphous silicon film components is not higher than 4% within 2 years, and not higher than 20% within 25 years. Some specific requirements of this year are more stringent than before. Some small and medium-sized PV modules and inverter manufacturers may be difficult to obtain. Benefit. The profit is expected to be based on the national plan. The first phase of the “Golden Sun†demonstration project in 2009 included 329 projects with a total installed capacity of 642 MW, which was completed in 2-3 years; the second phase of 2010 “Golden Sun†"The demonstration project is 272 MW, and the construction period is shortened to one year. The target installation volume of this year's demonstration project has not yet been determined, but the Ministry of Finance has proposed that since 2013, the installation of the “Golden Sun†demonstration project is not less than 1000 MW. A PV company executive estimates that the current PV module prices continue to fall. If the state subsidy is to maintain the 2010 quota, and in order to maintain the progress with the 2013 installation target, then this year's installation target should be 400-500 MW. . Another change in the state subsidy policy this year is the procurement of key equipment for the “Golden Sun†project, including photovoltaic modules, inverters, and storage batteries, which was changed from the unified bidding of the government last year to the independent procurement by the owner. This is mainly for the problems of the first phase of the "Golden Sun" demonstration project, such as the lack of construction, shoddy, etc. Last year, the Ministry of Finance announced the cancellation of 39 total of 54 MW of the 2009 Golden Sun Project Demonstration Project, including Wuxi Suntech, Artes, BP and other well-known photovoltaic companies at home and abroad are the owners of the project, and the second phase of centralized bidding is not effective. The state simply cancels the unified bidding system. This year, in addition to strengthening supervision and reducing capital subsidies to directly supplement the intermediate expenditures of enterprises, the national “Golden Sun†project also concentrated on contiguous demonstration projects and user-side photovoltaic power generation projects of 2 MW and above, as long as the projects requested by the owners were approved. A 70% pre-dial payment is available, which greatly increases the enthusiasm of the company. Yao Feng, Marketing Director of LDK China, pointed out that the current domestic PV market is heating up due to the continuous decline in the price of PV modules, which makes the investment “Golden Sun†project begin to have profit margins. It is reported that the price of domestic components last year was 15-16 yuan / watt, and has now dropped to 9-10 yuan / watt, and the entire EPC project, the cost is about 16-17 yuan / watt, only need a small amount of local subsidies to achieve profitability . It is reported that last year China's photovoltaic cell production reached 8,000 megawatts, accounting for about half of the total global photovoltaic cell production, ranking first in the world. The installed capacity of the domestic photovoltaic power generation market is only about 380 megawatts, accounting for about 3% of the total installed capacity in the world, and the market potential is huge. With the current photovoltaic power generation close to 1 yuan / kWh, the domestic photovoltaic market has been launched on a large scale, some domestic photovoltaic giants began to pay attention to the domestic market, and have increased the intensity of public relations in the country, with the intention of raising awareness.
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