Analysis and forecast of price trend of raw and auxiliary materials for foundry (7)

date January 2007 February 2007 March 2007 April 2007 May 2007 June 2007
average price 2310 2460 2570 2630 2776 2836
date July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007
average price 2720 2878 3255 3360 3380 3600
date January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008  
average price 3842 3930 4447 4330 4350  

Figure 13 Price chart of pig iron (L08) from 07 to 08 May

Fourth, stainless steel series: review 07 market, forecast 08 trend

Since the main raw materials of stainless steel are nickel and chromium, and the chromium market in 2007 was relatively stable compared with last year, the fluctuation of nickel price in 2007 directly reflected the market situation of stainless steel. Nickel prices in the international market in 2007 experienced an oscillating process of sharply rising and falling sharply. In May, it rose to its peak, setting a record high, but after that, nickel prices gradually oscillated. The stainless steel series has also undergone an oscillating process following the change in nickel prices. Take the tax-free price of 304 waste stainless steel as an example, and as can be seen from Figure 14, the price in January-March is around 27000-36000 yuan/ton, and the highest in March-June is 37275 yuan/ton, and then down to 24,420 yuan/ton. The price of 316 stainless steel excluding tax is between 450,000 yuan and 50,000 yuan, and the highest is about 52,500 yuan/ton.

Therefore, the price of scrap stainless steel in the second half of 2008 is relatively stable. If the price of the chrome series increases, the stainless steel series will still adjust the price upwards, but the possibility of big ups and downs is small.

date January 2007 February 2007 March 2007 April 2007 May 2007 June 2007
average price 27000 31570 35960 37275 34600 30800
date July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007
average price 24420 26627 27269 27595 26500 24230
date January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008  
average price 25350 26235 26720 25200 24590  

Figure 14 Price Chart of 304 Stainless Steel from 2007 to May 2008

date January 2007 February 2007 March 2007 April 2007 May 2007 June 2007
average price 42550 46260 54590 60100 56600 52960
date July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007
average price 46200 47265 47550 47430 45500 40400
date January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008  
average price 43000 42295 43530 41690 40920  

Figure 15 Price chart of 316 stainless steel from 2007 to May 2008

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