China's strong wind power policy favors the cable market
In recent years, China's new energy industry has been continuously advancing. No matter solar energy, wind power, nuclear energy, or hydropower have been developed in a short time. In addition, the development prospects of secondary energy such as thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, solar power generation, and gasoline are also very promising. Taking offshore wind power as an example, the development of offshore wind power will play a pivotal role in promoting the cable industry.
Wind power development pulls new energy cable market
According to statistics, by the end of 2012, the cumulative installed capacity of wind power in China reached 75.32 million kilowatts, and the total installed capacity was the largest in the world. In 2012, China’s wind power installed 12.96 million kilowatts of new wind power, added 15.37 million kilowatts of new grid-connected capacity, and the nation’s cumulative grid capacity reached 62.37 million kilowatts. In 2012, when the amount of wind-discharged electricity in China was about 20 billion yuan, according to the current good level, the loss of 20 billion kwh electricity means that the economic loss exceeds 10 billion yuan.
Since the beginning of the 12th Five-Year Plan period, the national energy authority has put forward the development ideas of both centralized development and decentralized development, as well as corresponding management methods. Some inland areas have begun to plan wind power development projects according to local conditions and have brought small and medium-sized wind power investment companies. opportunity.
With the continuous development of the new energy industry, some subdivided industries have also ushered in a vast market space and development opportunities. Naturally, new energy cable products are the first to bear the brunt. New energy cable products will have a huge space for development in the future. It may be said that the rapid development of new energy has provided a platform for demonstrating the technological strength of enterprises in the new energy field in China.
However, due to the high technological content of new energy cables, for domestic cable companies concentrated in the low-end market, how to seize the trend of the times, follow the rules of the development of the times, increase research and development efforts to develop new energy in line with application needs Cable products are also a new topic in the industry.
Especially in 2013, if the state subsidy can keep up, the development of offshore wind power will have better prospects than in 2012. More importantly, from the end of last year to today, the bidding price of wind power equipment manufacturers is gradually picking up, and the average bid price per unit kW for a 1.5 MW double-fed unit is already close to 3,800 yuan, which is less than 3,700 yuan at the beginning of last year. This means that the wind power industry is gradually emerging from the previous low-price competition, and this development trend is conducive to the overall improvement of the wind power industry.
Wind power policies benefit the cable market
Of course, the development of offshore wind power also faces some bottlenecks. For example, the on-grid tariff of offshore wind power is higher than that of onshore wind power. This can refer to the only offshore wind power project in China. The Donghai Bridge wind power project has a post-tax price of 0.978 yuan/kWh. About twice as much as onshore wind power. Large-scale power cuts have caused wind power developers' revenues to shrink. The situation of curtailment of wind curtailment is equally serious. The industry's triangular debt has caused the cash flow of wind power equipment manufacturers to be tight. In addition, there is excess capacity. These bottlenecks have to some extent hampered the healthy development of the industry.
But good news is also exciting. This year, the National Energy Administration has set a target of 18 million kilowatts of new wind power installed capacity. At the same time, some offshore wind power projects will also be launched this year. Coupled with the recovery of wind turbine prices, the current situation of the wind power industry is gradually increasing. Improved.
While looking across the country, offshore wind power construction is also advancing in an orderly manner: Offshore wind power planning in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Shandong, Hebei, Zhejiang, and Guangdong has been completed; offshore wind power planning in Dalian, Fujian, Guangxi, and Hainan provinces in Liaoning is being refined and formulated. In the completed plan, 43GW of offshore wind energy resource development potential has been tentatively identified. At present, there are 38 projects and a total of 16.5GW in which to carry out various preparatory work. The area leading the development of wind power in China is still the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, with a cumulative installed capacity of 17.59 GW, followed by Hebei, Gansu and Liaoning, with cumulative installed capacity exceeding 5 GW.
According to the “12th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy†of the National Energy Administration, it is expected that by 2015, China will build 5GW of offshore wind power to form an offshore wind power industry chain. After 2015, China's offshore wind power will enter the stage of large-scale development and reach the international advanced technology level. In 2020 China's offshore wind power will reach 30 GW.
At the same time, the proportion of distributed wind power will further increase, but still rely mainly on large-scale development and development of onshore wind power, and the distributed ratio can reach up to 30%. With the grid company's UHV transmission lines, smart grids and other infrastructure The improvement of the power grid will greatly increase the capacity of wind power and the scale of cross-regional wind power transmission, and the wind power grid connection rate is expected to be further improved.
However, difficulties are still encountered in achieving this goal. Through practice, it has been found that offshore wind power may be difficult to improve in the short term. Moreover, the current wind power manufacturing industry has entered a high-profit era of low profit, which means that the intensified competition within the industry, the market is more mature, wind power manufacturing companies will face greater market test.
However, with the successive introduction of a series of adjustments of relevant industries and subsidy policies by the state, it is bound to form the priority and integration of the industry. In the future, the development space of China's wind power industry is still vast. The maturity and cost of the wind power industry have also increased the competitiveness of wind power relative to traditional energy sources. Wind power has become a stronger new power source technology and will gradually increase its proportion in China's energy structure.
New energy cables intensify survival of the fittest
The prospects for offshore wind power are good, and it is undoubtedly good news for the cable industry. The research, development and production of new energy cables will effectively break the disordered and vicious competition in the current power cable market due to high technical requirements, large R&D investment, and adverse radiation environment, achieving the survival of the fittest and eliminating the inferior of the industry. The vicious circle of end-market competition is also a reflection of the development trend of the power cable market.
Nowadays, with the rapid development of offshore power generation, new energy cables have gradually become a hot spot for cable companies. However, due to the lack of R&D investment in the entire power cable industry, small profit margins have led to the inability of some small enterprises to invest in R&D. The powerful enterprises actively increase investment in R&D of high-tech and high-value-added products, gradually adjust their product mix, increase investment in R&D of special wire and cable, and provide more products with independent intellectual property rights. To the ranks of high-end cable products.
However, the development of enterprises and the direction of R&D should be determined by the market. Many cable manufacturers are also adhering to the development of new energy cable products. However, cable manufacturers should still be aware of the situation and cannot blindly invest in the immediate interests. , not to blindly expand capacity and strategic direction. Otherwise, not only the profitability of the company is not optimistic, but also it is not conducive to the healthy and orderly development of the new energy cable industry.
In particular, the power cable industry is relatively dependent on funds, and is directly affected by the prices of raw materials such as copper, aluminum, and plastics. Therefore, cable manufacturers have been facing tremendous cost pressures. Shortage of funds, tightened capital chain, overcapacity, and disorderly competition have become important factors restricting the development of small and medium-sized cable companies and even large-scale enterprises. In this case, if the situation cannot be clearly understood and rational investment is made, the result may be unfortunate. .
With the increasingly fierce competition in the cable market, how can we establish a foothold in the new energy cable market, take the differentiated route, and realize the survival of the fittest and the fittest of the cable industry through differences in the cable industry and the entire cable industry can not be ignored. Only through mergers and acquisitions, fund integration, etc., can we have sufficient financial support for technological upgrading to produce products that meet the needs of the wind power market. Only in this way can we compete with famous foreign brands.
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